Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.38) 0.75 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 28.1% 20.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sondrio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellanzese 0 12.2% 9.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.5% 12.4% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 8.4% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastellanzeseSondrio
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack24%18%
Defense65%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castellanzese Sondrio
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins36%20%29%9%20%14%
Draws36%40%38%27%20%24%
Loses27%40%33%64%60%62%

Form: Castellanzese: DDLDWWLLWWDDLDWLWLDDL • Sondrio: LLLLLLLDLLWLDWDDDLWLL

League goals

Metric Castellanzese Sondrio
HATHAT
GF total1215276915
GF avg1.11.51.30.50.90.7
GA total111223241741
GA avg1.01.21.12.21.72.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastellanzeseSondrio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%62%52%90%
1.529%43%19%52%
2.514%5%0%24%
3.55%0%0%10%
4.55%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastellanzeseSondrio
HATHAT
Clean sheets448112
Failed to score5386410

Penalties

MetricCastellanzeseSondrio
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricCastellanzeseSondrio
Wins21
Draws23
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-81-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-10-83-0
Goals For3822
Goals Against2384

Model comparison

MetricCastellanzeseSondrio
Form56%44%
Att57%43%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h64%36%
Goals72%28%
Total62.3%37.7%

Advice: Double chance : Castellanzese or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ Superbet
Draw3.50 @ 10Bet
Away4.23 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.78 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castellanzese = 1.36 (league 1.38), Sondrio = 0.75 (league 1.20)

Sondrio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellanzese 0 12.2% 9.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.5% 12.4% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 8.4% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 20.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1