Sun, Feb 8 2026 • 13:30 •
Sportitalia Arena
Expected Goals
2.40 (league 1.34)
0.75 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4% | 16.2% | 9.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 0
10.2%
3 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Pavia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Folgore Caratese | 0 | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.9% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 57% | 29% |
| Defense | 86% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Pavia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 60% | 50% | 55% | 8% | 20% | 14% |
| Draws | 20% | 42% | 32% | 33% | 40% | 36% |
| Loses | 20% | 8% | 14% | 58% | 40% | 50% |
Folgore CarateseWWWWDWLDLWWDWWWDDDWDWL
PaviaLLWLLLLDDWDDLLDDLLWDDL
League goals
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Pavia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 13 | 32 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 37 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Folgore Caratese | Pavia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 55% | 68% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 18% | 23% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 5% | 9% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Pavia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 2-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 70.5% | 29.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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