Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.34)
0.83 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.0% | 25.5% | 19.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Villa Valle | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castellanzese | 0 | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castellanzese | Villa Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 57% | 71% |
| Defense | 14% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castellanzese | Villa Valle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 33% | 27% | 30% | 58% | 30% | 45% |
| Draws | 33% | 36% | 35% | 25% | 10% | 18% |
| Loses | 33% | 36% | 35% | 17% | 60% | 36% |
CastellanzeseDDLDWWLLWWDDLDWLWLDDLLW
Villa ValleWLWDDWLWLLLWLWWWDLWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Castellanzese | Villa Valle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 17 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 13 | 13 | 26 | 12 | 19 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castellanzese | Villa Valle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 65% | 73% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 43% | 45% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 4% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 5% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castellanzese | Villa Valle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castellanzese | Villa Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castellanzese | Villa Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-8 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castellanzese | Villa Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 44.2% | 55.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.90 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away2.51 @ Marathonbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.82 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.04 @ Unibet
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League standings
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