Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Felice Chinetti
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.37) 1.53 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.6% 21.1% 27.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Breno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milan II 0 2.7% 4.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.9% 9.0% 6.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.1% 6.2% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.1% 3.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMilan IIBreno
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack100%71%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Milan II Breno
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins45%42%43%36%25%30%
Draws18%25%22%45%17%30%
Loses36%33%35%18%58%39%

Form: Milan II: WDWDWLLLWWLLWDWWDWLWLDL • Breno: DDDWDLWWDLLLDWLWLWWLDLL

League goals

Metric Milan II Breno
HATHAT
GF total171936141731
GF avg1.51.61.61.31.41.3
GA total141529112334
GA avg1.31.31.31.01.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMilan IIBreno
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%83%70%78%
1.557%39%52%52%
2.526%4%4%13%
3.50%0%4%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMilan IIBreno
HATHAT
Clean sheets224325
Failed to score336437

Penalties

MetricMilan IIBreno
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricMilan IIBreno
Wins22
Draws13
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-02-5
Biggest losses0-22-10-14-0
Goals For3325
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricMilan IIBreno
Form50%50%
Att58%42%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Breno

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Superbet
No1.98 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Milan II = 2.08 (league 1.37), Breno = 1.53 (league 1.19)

Breno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milan II 0 2.7% 4.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.9% 9.0% 6.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.1% 6.2% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.1% 3.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.6% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 27.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1