Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Pietro Fortunati
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.38) 1.25 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.2% 28.6% 42.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.8%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Varesina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pavia 0 11.0% 13.8% 8.6% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.5% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.0% 6.3% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaviaVaresina
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack45%55%
Defense45%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pavia Varesina
HATHAT
Played131225131225
Wins15%25%20%8%25%16%
Draws31%33%32%46%42%44%
Loses54%42%48%46%33%40%

Form: Pavia: LLWLLLLDDWDDLLDDLLWDDLLWW • Varesina: LLWLDDDDDLDDLWLLLDWLLWDDD

League goals

Metric Pavia Varesina
HATHAT
GF total141226141226
GF avg1.11.01.01.11.01.0
GA total202040191433
GA avg1.51.71.61.51.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaviaVaresina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%72%68%80%
1.524%52%28%48%
2.58%28%4%4%
3.54%4%4%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaviaVaresina
HATHAT
Clean sheets437235
Failed to score538538

Penalties

MetricPaviaVaresina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 33.33%
Total03

Streaks

MetricPaviaVaresina
Wins11
Draws25
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-24-10-2
Biggest losses2-53-00-22-0
Goals For4242
Goals Against5332

Model comparison

MetricPaviaVaresina
Form54%46%
Att45%55%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: No predictions available

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Betfair
Away2.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Marathonbet
No1.81 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pavia = 0.96 (league 1.38), Varesina = 1.25 (league 1.20)

Varesina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pavia 0 11.0% 13.8% 8.6% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.5% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.0% 6.3% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.2% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 42.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1