Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Leon Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.37) 0.60 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.6% 23.7% 13.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.3%
2 - 0
14.4%
0 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Villa Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon Monza e Brianza 0 10.4% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.3% 10.4% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.4% 8.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.0% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaVilla Valle
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack82%45%
Defense55%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leon Monza e Brianza Villa Valle
HATHAT
Played131225131124
Wins31%50%40%62%27%46%
Draws46%25%36%23%9%17%
Loses23%25%24%15%64%38%

Form: Leon Monza e Brianza: DDDDDLWWLLWDWDDWDLLWLWWWW • Villa Valle: WLWDDWLWLLLWLWWWDLWWLDLW

League goals

Metric Leon Monza e Brianza Villa Valle
HATHAT
GF total16163223932
GF avg1.21.31.31.80.81.3
GA total121224122133
GA avg0.91.01.00.91.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeon Monza e BrianzaVilla Valle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%64%71%79%
1.548%24%46%38%
2.512%8%13%13%
3.54%0%4%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaVilla Valle
HATHAT
Clean sheets549415
Failed to score549167

Penalties

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaVilla Valle
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaVilla Valle
Wins23
Draws52
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-34-01-3
Biggest losses0-33-00-24-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaVilla Valle
Form63%37%
Att64%36%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h13%88%
Goals13%88%
Total47.7%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : Leon Monza e Brianza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.12 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Marathonbet
No1.83 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leon Monza e Brianza = 1.66 (league 1.37), Villa Valle = 0.60 (league 1.20)

Villa Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon Monza e Brianza 0 10.4% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.3% 10.4% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.4% 8.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.0% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.6% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 13.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1