Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Sinergy Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.38) 1.34 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.2% 23.7% 30.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sondrio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chievo 0 4.8% 6.4% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.2% 10.9% 7.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.3% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.9% 5.2% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChievoSondrio
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack55%73%
Defense0%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chievo Sondrio
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins42%54%48%15%25%20%
Draws17%15%16%23%17%20%
Loses42%31%36%62%58%60%

Form: Chievo: WWLWDWWWWDWLWLLLWDDLWWLLL • Sondrio: LLLLLLLDLLWLDWDDDLWLLWWLL

League goals

Metric Chievo Sondrio
HATHAT
GF total162036111223
GF avg1.31.51.40.81.00.9
GA total191635272249
GA avg1.61.21.42.11.82.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChievoSondrio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%64%60%92%
1.548%40%24%52%
2.512%28%4%24%
3.54%8%4%12%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChievoSondrio
HATHAT
Clean sheets459112
Failed to score3256410

Penalties

MetricChievoSondrio
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricChievoSondrio
Wins42
Draws23
Losses37

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-34-10-2
Biggest losses1-44-10-84-1
Goals For4342
Goals Against4484

Model comparison

MetricChievoSondrio
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h88%13%
Goals100%0%
Total57.2%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Chievo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.24 @ Pinnacle
Away6.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.88 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Marathonbet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chievo = 1.70 (league 1.38), Sondrio = 1.34 (league 1.20)

Sondrio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chievo 0 4.8% 6.4% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.2% 10.9% 7.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.3% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.9% 5.2% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 30.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1