Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:30 •
Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.38)
0.75 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.2% | 18.0% | 11.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Pavia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villa Valle | 0 | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villa Valle | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 46% | 31% |
| Defense | 38% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villa Valle | Pavia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 62% | 33% | 48% | 14% | 25% | 19% |
| Draws | 23% | 8% | 16% | 36% | 33% | 35% |
| Loses | 15% | 58% | 36% | 50% | 42% | 46% |
Form: Villa Valle: WLWDDWLWLLLWLWWWDLWWLDLWW • Pavia: LLWLLLLDDWDDLLDDLLWDDLLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Villa Valle | Pavia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 11 | 34 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 22 | 34 | 21 | 20 | 41 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villa Valle | Pavia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 80% | 69% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 36% | 23% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 12% | 8% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villa Valle | Pavia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villa Valle | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villa Valle | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 2-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villa Valle | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Pavia
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.85 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ 1xBet
Away3.84 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.81 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Villa Valle = 2.22 (league 1.38), Pavia = 0.75 (league 1.20)
| Pavia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villa Valle | 0 | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.2% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 11.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1