Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:30 •
Sportitalia Arena
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.37)
0.46 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.2% | 36.9% | 17.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.0%
1 - 0
23.0%
0 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Folgore Caratese | 0 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.0% | 10.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 62% | 15% |
| Defense | 62% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 58% | 50% | 54% | 38% | 31% | 35% |
| Draws | 25% | 43% | 35% | 31% | 38% | 35% |
| Loses | 17% | 7% | 12% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
Form: Folgore Caratese: WWWWDWLDLWWDWWWDDDWDWLWWDD • Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: DDWLDWDLDLLWWWWDLWWLLDWDDL
League goals
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 18 | 40 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Folgore Caratese | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 58% | 69% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 15% | 12% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 67.7% | 32.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Folgore Caratese or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Folgore Caratese = 0.92 (league 1.37), Virtus Ciserano Bergamo = 0.46 (league 1.21)
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Folgore Caratese | 0 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.0% | 10.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.6% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 36.9% · Away win 17.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1