Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 13:30 •
Campo Comunale
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.36)
1.75 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.7% | 23.5% | 54.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 1
11.2%
0 - 2
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Castellanzese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Varesina | 0 | 6.6% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Varesina | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 54% | 46% |
| Defense | 69% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Varesina | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 8% | 23% | 15% | 43% | 25% | 35% |
| Draws | 46% | 46% | 46% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
| Loses | 46% | 31% | 38% | 29% | 42% | 35% |
Form: Varesina: LLWLDDDDDLDDLWLLLDWLLWDDDD • Castellanzese: DDLDWWLLWWDDLDWLWLDDLLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Varesina | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 13 | 27 | 16 | 17 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 19 | 15 | 34 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Varesina | Castellanzese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 81% | 65% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 46% | 31% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 4% | 12% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Varesina | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Varesina | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 66.67% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 33.33% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Varesina | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-8 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Varesina | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Varesina or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Varesina = 0.97 (league 1.36), Castellanzese = 1.75 (league 1.20)
| Castellanzese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Varesina | 0 | 6.6% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.7% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 54.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1