Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Coni Castellina
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.37)
2.61 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.6% | 12.2% | 78.2% |
best score tips
0 - 2
15.7%
0 - 3
13.6%
0 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| USD Casatese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sondrio | 0 | 4.6% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sondrio | USD Casatese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 62% | 31% |
| Defense | 31% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sondrio | USD Casatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 15% | 23% | 19% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Draws | 23% | 15% | 19% | 38% | 62% | 50% |
| Loses | 62% | 62% | 62% | 23% | 0% | 12% |
Form: Sondrio: LLLLLLLDLLWLDWDDDLWLLWWLLL • USD Casatese: DLDDWWWDDWDWWWDDDLDDWLWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Sondrio | USD Casatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 12 | 23 | 18 | 19 | 37 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 27 | 23 | 50 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sondrio | USD Casatese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 92% | 77% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 50% | 35% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 23% | 23% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 12% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sondrio | USD Casatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sondrio | USD Casatese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sondrio | USD Casatese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-8 | 4-1 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sondrio | USD Casatese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 19% | 81% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Sondrio or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.80 @ 1xBet
Draw3.55 @ 1xBet
Away1.83 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sondrio = 0.47 (league 1.37), USD Casatese = 2.61 (league 1.21)
| USD Casatese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sondrio | 0 | 4.6% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.6% · Draw 12.2% · Away win 78.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1