Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 13:30 • Sinergy Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.38) 1.12 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.0% 24.0% 25.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Villa Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chievo 0 6.0% 6.7% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.2% 11.4% 6.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.6% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.9% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChievoVilla Valle
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack20%33%
Defense20%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chievo Villa Valle
HATHAT
Played131427141226
Wins46%50%48%57%33%46%
Draws15%14%15%29%8%19%
Loses38%36%37%14%58%35%

Form: Chievo: WWLWDWWWWDWLWLLLWDDLWWLLLWL • Villa Valle: WLWDDWLWLLLWLWWWDLWWLDLWWD

League goals

Metric Chievo Villa Valle
HATHAT
GF total172037231134
GF avg1.31.41.41.60.91.3
GA total191736122234
GA avg1.51.21.30.91.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChievoVilla Valle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%63%69%77%
1.544%37%46%35%
2.511%26%12%12%
3.54%7%4%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChievoVilla Valle
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510516
Failed to score336268

Penalties

MetricChievoVilla Valle
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricChievoVilla Valle
Wins43
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-34-01-3
Biggest losses1-44-10-24-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against4424

Model comparison

MetricChievoVilla Valle
Form27%73%
Att38%63%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals67%33%
Total45.2%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Villa Valle

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away4.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.86 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chievo = 1.70 (league 1.38), Villa Valle = 1.12 (league 1.21)

Villa Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chievo 0 6.0% 6.7% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.2% 11.4% 6.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.6% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.9% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.0% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 25.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1