Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Pietro Fortunati
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.33)
1.92 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.0% | 21.9% | 57.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
10.5%
1 - 1
10.4%
0 - 2
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Castellanzese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pavia | 0 | 5.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pavia | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 24% | 41% |
| Defense | 76% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pavia | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 14% | 23% | 19% | 43% | 23% | 33% |
| Draws | 36% | 38% | 37% | 29% | 38% | 33% |
| Loses | 50% | 38% | 44% | 29% | 38% | 33% |
PaviaLLWLLLLDDWDDLLDDLLWDDLLWWDD
CastellanzeseDDLDWWLLWWDDLDWLWLDDLLWWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Pavia | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 12 | 27 | 16 | 19 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 21 | 20 | 41 | 13 | 16 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pavia | Castellanzese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 70% | 67% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 48% | 33% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 26% | 11% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pavia | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pavia | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pavia | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-8 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pavia | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.4% | 56.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.80 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ Marathonbet
No1.82 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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