Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio Coni Castellina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.37) 1.16 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.6% 31.8% 53.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.9%
0 - 0
19.7%
0 - 2
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sondrio 0 19.7% 22.9% 13.3% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3%
1 9.1% 10.6% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSondrioVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack43%21%
Defense29%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sondrio Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins21%21%21%43%29%36%
Draws21%21%21%29%43%36%
Loses57%57%57%29%29%29%

Form: Sondrio: LLLLLLLDLLWLDWDDDLWLLWWLLLWD • Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: DDWLDWDLDLLWWWWDLWWLLDWDDLDW

League goals

Metric Sondrio Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
HATHAT
GF total131427141024
GF avg0.91.01.01.00.70.9
GA total282553131023
GA avg2.01.81.90.90.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSondrioVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%93%71%61%
1.529%50%14%18%
2.54%21%0%4%
3.54%11%0%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSondrioVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
HATHAT
Clean sheets1125611
Failed to score6511358

Penalties

MetricSondrioVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricSondrioVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
Wins24
Draws32
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-84-10-23-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against8423

Model comparison

MetricSondrioVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
Form40%60%
Att67%33%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ Dafabet
Away2.43 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.63 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sondrio = 0.46 (league 1.37), Virtus Ciserano Bergamo = 1.16 (league 1.20)

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sondrio 0 19.7% 22.9% 13.3% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3%
1 9.1% 10.6% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.6% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 53.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1