Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Carlo Rossoni
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.37)
0.75 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.6% | 36.0% | 30.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.2%
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 1
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Varesina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 0 | 21.2% | 15.8% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.0% | 12.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 33% | 67% |
| Defense | 56% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Varesina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 43% | 27% | 34% | 7% | 29% | 17% |
| Draws | 29% | 47% | 38% | 47% | 43% | 45% |
| Loses | 29% | 27% | 28% | 47% | 29% | 38% |
Form: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: DDWLDWDLDLLWWWWDLWWLLDWDDLDWD • Varesina: LLWLDDDDDLDDLWLLLDWLLWDDDDDWL
League goals
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Varesina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 10 | 24 | 17 | 14 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 13 | 10 | 23 | 23 | 15 | 38 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Varesina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 59% | 72% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 17% | 28% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Varesina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 75.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 25.00% |
| Total | 4 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 47.7% | 52.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Varesina and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Virtus Ciserano Bergamo = 0.80 (league 1.37), Varesina = 0.75 (league 1.20)
| Varesina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 0 | 21.2% | 15.8% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.0% | 12.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.6% · Draw 36.0% · Away win 30.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1