Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 13:00 •
Campo Sportivo Comunale Tassara
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.37)
0.91 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.1% | 26.7% | 23.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Sondrio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Breno | 0 | 9.4% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 12.5% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Breno | Sondrio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 33% |
| Attack | 11% | 56% |
| Defense | 0% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Breno | Sondrio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 29% | 20% | 24% | 20% | 21% | 21% |
| Draws | 50% | 13% | 31% | 27% | 21% | 24% |
| Loses | 21% | 67% | 45% | 53% | 57% | 55% |
Form: Breno: DDDWDLWWDLLLDWLWLWWLDLLLDLDLL • Sondrio: LLLLLLLDLLWLDWDDDLWLLWWLLLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Breno | Sondrio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 17 | 32 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 15 | 29 | 44 | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Breno | Sondrio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 79% | 59% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 52% | 28% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 17% | 3% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Breno | Sondrio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Breno | Sondrio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Breno | Sondrio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-5 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-8 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Breno | Sondrio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 34.7% | 65.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sondrio
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Breno = 1.45 (league 1.37), Sondrio = 0.91 (league 1.20)
| Sondrio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Breno | 0 | 9.4% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 12.5% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.1% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 23.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1