Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio Comunale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.37) 1.13 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 30.8% 42.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.1%
0 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Real Calepina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oltrepò 0 14.3% 16.1% 9.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.2% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.8% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOltrepòReal Calepina
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack100%56%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oltrepò Real Calepina
HATHAT
Played141529141428
Wins29%53%41%29%43%36%
Draws21%27%24%29%14%21%
Loses50%20%34%43%43%43%

Form: Oltrepò: WWLDLWDLDLDWWLDLWWLDWWLDWWLLW • Real Calepina: LWDWWLLLDDDLLLLDWDWWWWLLLWWL

League goals

Metric Oltrepò Real Calepina
HATHAT
GF total112031162137
GF avg0.81.31.11.11.51.3
GA total121830191938
GA avg0.91.21.01.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOltrepòReal Calepina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%59%82%75%
1.528%31%39%43%
2.510%10%11%18%
3.53%3%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOltrepòReal Calepina
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612347
Failed to score7310235

Penalties

MetricOltrepòReal Calepina
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricOltrepòReal Calepina
Wins24
Draws13
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-43-10-3
Biggest losses1-34-10-33-1
Goals For3433
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricOltrepòReal Calepina
Form60%40%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : Oltrepò or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ 1xBet
Draw3.15 @ Dafabet
Away2.96 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Superbet
No1.77 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oltrepò = 0.82 (league 1.37), Real Calepina = 1.13 (league 1.20)

Real Calepina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oltrepò 0 14.3% 16.1% 9.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.2% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.8% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 42.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1