Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 13:00 •
Campo Comunale
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.37)
1.76 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.6% | 23.3% | 57.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 1
11.0%
0 - 2
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Chievo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Varesina | 0 | 7.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Varesina | Chievo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 80% |
| Attack | 78% | 100% |
| Defense | 33% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Varesina | Chievo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 7% | 33% | 20% | 53% | 53% | 53% |
| Draws | 47% | 40% | 43% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Loses | 47% | 27% | 37% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Varesina: LLWLDDDDDLDDLWLLLDWLLWDDDDDWLW • Chievo: WWLWDWWWWDWLWLLLWDDLWWLLLWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Varesina | Chievo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 16 | 33 | 24 | 21 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 23 | 16 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Varesina | Chievo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 80% | 80% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 47% | 47% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 3% | 17% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Varesina | Chievo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Varesina | Chievo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 75.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 25.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Varesina | Chievo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Varesina | Chievo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Chievo
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Varesina = 0.88 (league 1.37), Chievo = 1.76 (league 1.19)
| Chievo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Varesina | 0 | 7.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.6% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 57.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1