Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.34)
1.17 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.2% | 30.7% | 46.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.4%
0 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Leon Monza e Brianza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castellanzese | 0 | 14.9% | 17.4% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castellanzese | Leon Monza e Brianza |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 80% |
| Attack | 33% | 83% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castellanzese | Leon Monza e Brianza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| Wins | 40% | 20% | 30% | 38% | 57% | 47% |
| Draws | 27% | 33% | 30% | 38% | 21% | 30% |
| Loses | 33% | 47% | 40% | 25% | 21% | 23% |
CastellanzeseDDLDWWLLWWDDLDWLWLDDLLWWLWDLLL
Leon Monza e BrianzaDDDDDLWWLLWDWDDWDLLWLWWWWLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Castellanzese | Leon Monza e Brianza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 19 | 36 | 23 | 19 | 42 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 15 | 18 | 33 | 17 | 13 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castellanzese | Leon Monza e Brianza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 67% | 70% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 40% | 50% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 3% | 17% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castellanzese | Leon Monza e Brianza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castellanzese | Leon Monza e Brianza |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castellanzese | Leon Monza e Brianza |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-8 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castellanzese | Leon Monza e Brianza |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 41.2% | 58.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.48 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.72 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.83 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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