Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Felice Chinetti
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.33)
1.13 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.7% | 27.9% | 33.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.6%
0 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Varesina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Milan II | 0 | 9.4% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 13.1% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Milan II | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 75% |
| Defense | 50% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Milan II | Varesina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 40% | 50% | 45% | 6% | 33% | 19% |
| Draws | 33% | 19% | 26% | 44% | 40% | 42% |
| Loses | 27% | 31% | 29% | 50% | 27% | 39% |
Milan IIWDWDWLLLWWLLWDWWDWLWLDLWWDWDDLW
VaresinaLLWLDDDDDLDDLWLLLDWLLWDDDDDWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Milan II | Varesina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 27 | 49 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 18 | 16 | 34 | 24 | 16 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Milan II | Varesina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 74% | 71% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 32% | 29% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Milan II | Varesina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Milan II | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 3 | 75.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 25.00% |
| Total | 5 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Milan II | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Milan II | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 54.2% | 45.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.81 @ Dafabet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.06 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.76 @ Marathonbet
No1.91 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…