Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Nuovo Stadio Comunale
Expected Goals
2.67 (league 1.28)
0.40 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.8% | 11.1% | 3.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.6%
3 - 0
14.7%
1 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Vigasio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Este | 0 | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.6% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.7% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Este | Vigasio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 62% | 54% |
| Defense | 69% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Este | Vigasio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 40% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 33% | 100% | 60% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
Form: Este: WDWDD • Vigasio: WLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Este | Vigasio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Este | Vigasio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 60% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Este | Vigasio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Este | Vigasio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Este | Vigasio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Este | Vigasio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 68.5% | 31.5% |
Advice: Winner : Este
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Este = 2.67 (league 1.28), Vigasio = 0.40 (league 1.12)
| Vigasio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Este | 0 | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.6% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.7% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.8% · Draw 11.1% · Away win 3.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1