Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Francesco Baracca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.28) 0.44 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.4% 48.0% 23.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.9%
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 1
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
Portogruaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mestre 0 38.9% 17.0% 3.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 8.6% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMestrePortogruaro
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack38%38%
Defense69%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mestre Portogruaro
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins33%50%40%0%0%0%
Draws67%0%40%67%100%80%
Loses0%50%20%33%0%20%

Form: Mestre: DWWDL • Portogruaro: LDDDD

League goals

Metric Mestre Portogruaro
HATHAT
GF total415415
GF avg1.30.51.01.30.51.0
GA total314617
GA avg1.00.50.82.00.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMestrePortogruaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%80%80%
1.520%20%20%20%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMestrePortogruaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricMestrePortogruaro
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMestrePortogruaro
Wins20
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-1——
Biggest losses—1-02-4—
Goals For2121
Goals Against2141

Model comparison

MetricMestrePortogruaro
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h60%40%
Goals56%44%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mestre or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mestre = 0.51 (league 1.28), Portogruaro = 0.44 (league 1.14)

Portogruaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mestre 0 38.9% 17.0% 3.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 8.6% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.4% · Draw 48.0% · Away win 23.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1