Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.28) 0.57 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.6% 34.1% 20.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.8%
0 - 0
20.4%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Clodiense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luparense 0 20.4% 11.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.8% 11.9% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.6% 6.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuparenseClodiense
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack30%70%
Defense40%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luparense Clodiense
HATHAT
Played235235
Wins50%0%20%50%33%40%
Draws50%33%40%0%33%20%
Loses0%67%40%50%33%40%

Form: Luparense: DDLWL • Clodiense: DWWLL

League goals

Metric Luparense Clodiense
HATHAT
GF total213347
GF avg1.00.30.61.51.31.4
GA total156347
GA avg0.51.71.21.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuparenseClodiense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%80%100%60%
1.520%20%40%40%
2.50%20%0%40%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuparenseClodiense
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricLuparenseClodiense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLuparenseClodiense
Wins12
Draws21
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-00-1
Biggest losses3-01-33-2
Goals For2122
Goals Against1333

Model comparison

MetricLuparenseClodiense
Form42%58%
Att30%70%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Clodiense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luparense = 1.02 (league 1.28), Clodiense = 0.57 (league 1.14)

Clodiense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luparense 0 20.4% 11.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.8% 11.9% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.6% 6.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.6% · Draw 34.1% · Away win 20.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1