Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Guido Teghil
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.66 (league 1.28) 0.66 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.5% 13.3% 6.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.8%
3 - 0
11.4%
1 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Luparense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brian Lignano 0 3.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.6% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 8.4% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.4% 7.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.6% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrian LignanoLuparense
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack60%40%
Defense20%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brian Lignano Luparense
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins50%50%50%33%0%17%
Draws0%0%0%67%33%50%
Loses50%50%50%0%67%33%

Form: Brian Lignano: WLLWWL • Luparense: DDLWLD

League goals

Metric Brian Lignano Luparense
HATHAT
GF total4610415
GF avg2.01.51.71.30.30.8
GA total549358
GA avg2.51.01.51.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrian LignanoLuparense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%50%83%
1.550%33%33%33%
2.533%17%0%17%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrian LignanoLuparense
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricBrian LignanoLuparense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBrian LignanoLuparense
Wins21
Draws02
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-42-1
Biggest losses1-31-03-0
Goals For3421
Goals Against3123

Model comparison

MetricBrian LignanoLuparense
Form55%45%
Att60%40%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Brian Lignano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brian Lignano = 2.66 (league 1.28), Luparense = 0.66 (league 1.14)

Luparense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brian Lignano 0 3.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.6% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 8.4% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.4% 7.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.6% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.5% · Draw 13.3% · Away win 6.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1