Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Francesco Baracca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.28) 0.70 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.3% 21.9% 13.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
2 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Bassano Virtus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mestre 0 7.9% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.5% 10.2% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.1% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMestreBassano Virtus
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack75%88%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mestre Bassano Virtus
HATHAT
Played426437
Wins50%50%50%50%33%43%
Draws50%0%33%25%0%14%
Loses0%50%17%25%67%43%

Form: Mestre: DWWDLW • Bassano Virtus: LLWLDWW

League goals

Metric Mestre Bassano Virtus
HATHAT
GF total718437
GF avg1.80.51.31.01.01.0
GA total314448
GA avg0.80.50.71.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMestreBassano Virtus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%57%71%
1.533%17%29%43%
2.517%0%14%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMestreBassano Virtus
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricMestreBassano Virtus
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMestreBassano Virtus
Wins21
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-10-3
Biggest losses1-00-22-0
Goals For3123
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricMestreBassano Virtus
Form50%50%
Att46%54%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Double chance : Mestre or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mestre = 1.83 (league 1.28), Bassano Virtus = 0.70 (league 1.14)

Bassano Virtus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mestre 0 7.9% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.5% 10.2% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.1% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.3% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 13.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1