Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:30 • Mario Sandrini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.28) 0.35 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.5% 24.1% 7.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.2%
2 - 0
18.0%
0 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Luparense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legnago Salus 0 14.9% 5.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 8.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.0% 6.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.4% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLegnago SalusLuparense
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack100%63%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Legnago Salus Luparense
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins0%100%63%25%0%13%
Draws67%0%25%75%25%50%
Loses33%0%13%0%75%38%

Form: Legnago Salus: WDWLWDWW • Luparense: DDLWLDLD

League goals

Metric Legnago Salus Luparense
HATHAT
GF total31013516
GF avg1.02.01.61.30.30.8
GA total4484812
GA avg1.30.81.01.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLegnago SalusLuparense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%50%88%
1.563%38%25%38%
2.513%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLegnago SalusLuparense
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score101134

Penalties

MetricLegnago SalusLuparense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLegnago SalusLuparense
Wins11
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-22-1—
Biggest losses1-2——3-0
Goals For2321
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricLegnago SalusLuparense
Form67%33%
Att62%38%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h71%29%
Goals73%27%
Total69.8%30.3%

Advice: Double chance : Legnago Salus or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away4.33 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Marathonbet
No1.87 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Legnago Salus = 1.56 (league 1.28), Luparense = 0.35 (league 1.12)

Luparense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legnago Salus 0 14.9% 5.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 8.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.0% 6.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.4% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.5% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 7.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1