Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Via Felluga
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.28)
0.36 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.5% | 34.2% | 12.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.7%
0 - 0
24.1%
2 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Luparense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Luigi | 0 | 24.1% | 8.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.7% | 9.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | San Luigi | Luparense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 27% | 20% |
| Defense | 53% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | San Luigi | Luparense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 18% |
| Draws | 40% | 33% | 36% | 60% | 17% | 36% |
| Loses | 20% | 67% | 45% | 20% | 67% | 45% |
Form: San Luigi: DWLDDLLWLDL • Luparense: DDLWLDLDWLL
League goals
| Metric | San Luigi | Luparense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 4 | 11 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | San Luigi | Luparense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 73% | 45% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 45% | 27% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 18% | 0% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | San Luigi | Luparense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | San Luigi | Luparense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | San Luigi | Luparense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | San Luigi | Luparense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 47.8% | 52.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Luparense and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): San Luigi = 1.07 (league 1.28), Luparense = 0.36 (league 1.12)
| Luparense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Luigi | 0 | 24.1% | 8.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.7% | 9.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 12.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1