Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Guido Teghil
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.29) 1.76 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.8% 22.9% 41.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Mestre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brian Lignano 0 3.7% 6.4% 5.6% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
1 5.7% 10.0% 8.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.4% 7.7% 6.8% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.3% 4.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrian LignanoMestre
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack38%50%
Defense56%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brian Lignano Mestre
HATHAT
Played57126511
Wins60%29%42%50%60%55%
Draws0%14%8%50%20%36%
Loses40%57%50%0%20%9%

Form: Brian Lignano: WLLWWLWDLLWL • Mestre: DWWDLWDDWWW

League goals

Metric Brian Lignano Mestre
HATHAT
GF total109199716
GF avg2.01.31.61.51.41.5
GA total7916358
GA avg1.41.31.30.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrian LignanoMestre
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%92%82%45%
1.550%25%45%27%
2.533%17%18%0%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrian LignanoMestre
HATHAT
Clean sheets101426
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricBrian LignanoMestre
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricBrian LignanoMestre
Wins22
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-43-02-3
Biggest losses1-33-2—1-0
Goals For3433
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricBrian LignanoMestre
Form27%73%
Att43%57%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.3%57.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mestre

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Betano
Draw3.15 @ Marathonbet
Away2.55 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.69 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Marathonbet
No1.90 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Brian Lignano = 1.55 (league 1.29), Mestre = 1.76 (league 1.12)

Mestre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brian Lignano 0 3.7% 6.4% 5.6% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
1 5.7% 10.0% 8.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.4% 7.7% 6.8% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.3% 4.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 41.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1