Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.29) 0.75 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.0% 25.5% 18.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
FC Obermais
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luparense 0 10.0% 7.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.5% 11.6% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.0% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuparenseFC Obermais
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack38%19%
Defense63%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luparense FC Obermais
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins20%29%25%33%0%17%
Draws60%14%33%17%17%17%
Loses20%57%42%50%83%67%

Form: Luparense: DDLWLDLDWLLW • FC Obermais: LLLWDWLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Luparense FC Obermais
HATHAT
GF total5611448
GF avg1.00.90.90.70.70.7
GA total6111781220
GA avg1.21.61.41.32.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuparenseFC Obermais
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%92%67%83%
1.533%33%0%50%
2.58%17%0%17%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuparenseFC Obermais
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score246224

Penalties

MetricLuparenseFC Obermais
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLuparenseFC Obermais
Wins11
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-31-0—
Biggest losses0-23-01-53-0
Goals For2311
Goals Against2353

Model comparison

MetricLuparenseFC Obermais
Form88%13%
Att67%33%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total72.3%28.0%

Advice: Double chance : Luparense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Betano
Draw3.42 @ Marathonbet
Away4.28 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.80 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Marathonbet
No1.89 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Luparense = 1.55 (league 1.29), FC Obermais = 0.75 (league 1.12)

FC Obermais
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luparense 0 10.0% 7.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.5% 11.6% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.0% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.0% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 18.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1