Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Francesco Baracca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.28) 0.32 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.6% 22.8% 6.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.2%
2 - 0
18.8%
0 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Luparense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mestre 0 14.3% 4.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 7.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 6.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.2% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMestreLuparense
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mestre Luparense
HATHAT
Played76136713
Wins43%50%46%33%29%31%
Draws57%17%38%50%14%31%
Loses0%33%15%17%57%38%

Form: Mestre: DWWDLWDDWWWLD • Luparense: DDLWLDLDWLLWW

League goals

Metric Mestre Luparense
HATHAT
GF total97168614
GF avg1.31.21.21.30.91.1
GA total36971118
GA avg0.41.00.71.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMestreLuparense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%46%54%92%
1.538%23%38%31%
2.515%0%15%15%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMestreLuparense
HATHAT
Clean sheets527101
Failed to score224246

Penalties

MetricMestreLuparense
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricMestreLuparense
Wins31
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-33-11-3
Biggest losses—1-00-23-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricMestreLuparense
Form53%47%
Att43%57%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Double chance : Mestre or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ 1xBet
Draw3.16 @ Marathonbet
Away3.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.72 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Marathonbet
No1.90 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mestre = 1.62 (league 1.28), Luparense = 0.32 (league 1.12)

Luparense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mestre 0 14.3% 4.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 7.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 6.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.2% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.6% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 6.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1