Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.28) 0.75 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.8% 24.5% 17.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Conegliano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luparense 0 9.3% 6.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.1% 11.3% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.2% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuparenseConegliano
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack46%54%
Defense62%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luparense Conegliano
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins33%25%29%57%0%29%
Draws50%25%36%29%29%29%
Loses17%50%36%14%71%43%

Form: Luparense: DDLWLDLDWLLWWD • Conegliano: LLLDDWLDLWLWDW

League goals

Metric Luparense Conegliano
HATHAT
GF total86149514
GF avg1.30.81.01.30.71.0
GA total7111851116
GA avg1.21.41.30.71.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuparenseConegliano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%86%71%79%
1.536%29%29%36%
2.514%14%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuparenseConegliano
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score257224

Penalties

MetricLuparenseConegliano
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLuparenseConegliano
Wins21
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-0—
Biggest losses0-23-00-12-0
Goals For3321
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricLuparenseConegliano
Form41%59%
Att46%54%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total51.3%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : Luparense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Marathonbet
Away2.72 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.80 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Marathonbet
No2.00 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luparense = 1.63 (league 1.28), Conegliano = 0.75 (league 1.12)

Conegliano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luparense 0 9.3% 6.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.1% 11.3% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.2% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.8% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 17.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1