Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale di Vigasio
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.28)
0.71 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.3% | 25.8% | 17.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
2 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Luparense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigasio | 0 | 10.6% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.2% | 11.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vigasio | Luparense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 53% |
| Attack | 30% | 60% |
| Defense | 40% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vigasio | Luparense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 38% | 0% | 20% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
| Draws | 50% | 57% | 53% | 57% | 25% | 40% |
| Loses | 13% | 43% | 27% | 14% | 50% | 33% |
Form: Vigasio: WLWDDDWDLDLDDLD • Luparense: DDLWLDLDWLLWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Vigasio | Luparense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 8 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 8 | 11 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vigasio | Luparense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 73% | 47% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 47% | 33% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 7% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vigasio | Luparense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vigasio | Luparense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vigasio | Luparense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | — | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vigasio | Luparense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 41.7% | 58.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Luparense
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vigasio = 1.53 (league 1.28), Luparense = 0.71 (league 1.12)
| Luparense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigasio | 0 | 10.6% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.2% | 11.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.3% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 17.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1