Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.29)
0.63 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.4% | 40.3% | 29.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
27.7%
1 - 0
18.0%
0 - 1
17.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Bassano Virtus | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luparense | 0 | 27.7% | 17.5% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.0% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Luparense | Bassano Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 33% |
| Defense | 42% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Luparense | Bassano Virtus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 33% | 20% | 26% | 40% | 33% | 37% |
| Draws | 56% | 30% | 42% | 40% | 44% | 42% |
| Loses | 11% | 50% | 32% | 20% | 22% | 21% |
Form: Luparense: DDLWLDLDWLLWWDDLDWD • Bassano Virtus: LLWLDWWDWDDWDWDDDWL
League goals
| Metric | Luparense | Bassano Virtus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 7 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 8 | 17 | 25 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Luparense | Bassano Virtus | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 53% | 79% | 63% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 26% | 26% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 16% | 5% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Luparense | Bassano Virtus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Luparense | Bassano Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Luparense | Bassano Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Luparense | Bassano Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 39.3% | 60.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bassano Virtus and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Luparense = 0.65 (league 1.29), Bassano Virtus = 0.63 (league 1.14)
| Bassano Virtus | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luparense | 0 | 27.7% | 17.5% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.0% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.4% · Draw 40.3% · Away win 29.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1