Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Francesco Baracca
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.27) 0.32 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.3% 20.8% 6.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.2%
2 - 0
19.4%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Adriese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mestre 0 12.7% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.2% 7.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.4% 6.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.3% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMestreAdriese
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack29%0%
Defense57%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.80 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mestre Adriese
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins42%38%40%15%17%16%
Draws58%31%44%31%8%20%
Loses0%31%16%54%75%64%

Form: Mestre: DWWDLWDDWWWLDDWDLWWDDDDWL • Adriese: DDLLDLWLLWWLLDLLWLLLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Mestre Adriese
HATHAT
GF total16132911718
GF avg1.31.01.20.80.60.7
GA total71320242044
GA avg0.61.00.81.81.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMestreAdriese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%56%44%80%
1.532%16%20%52%
2.516%4%8%28%
3.50%4%0%12%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMestreAdriese
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511325
Failed to score3586814

Penalties

MetricMestreAdriese
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricMestreAdriese
Wins32
Draws42
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-20-3
Biggest losses—4-11-54-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against2454

Model comparison

MetricMestreAdriese
Form86%14%
Att100%0%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mestre or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Betano
Draw4.21 @ Pinnacle
Away8.80 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.72 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.41 @ Marathonbet
No1.48 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mestre = 1.74 (league 1.27), Adriese = 0.32 (league 1.14)

Adriese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mestre 0 12.7% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.2% 7.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.4% 6.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.3% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.3% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 6.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1