Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.28) 1.79 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.5% 23.2% 52.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Legnago Salus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luparense 0 5.5% 9.8% 8.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
1 6.1% 10.9% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.4% 6.1% 5.5% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuparenseLegnago Salus
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack29%64%
Defense71%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luparense Legnago Salus
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%31%32%23%75%48%
Draws50%23%36%23%8%16%
Loses17%46%32%54%17%36%

Form: Luparense: DDLWLDLDWLLWWDDLDWDWWLLDW • Legnago Salus: WDWLWDWWLWLLWLLWLLWWDLWWD

League goals

Metric Luparense Legnago Salus
HATHAT
GF total151025143044
GF avg1.30.81.01.12.51.8
GA total101929221335
GA avg0.81.51.21.71.11.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuparenseLegnago Salus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%76%88%80%
1.528%20%56%44%
2.512%12%16%12%
3.54%4%8%4%
4.50%4%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuparenseLegnago Salus
HATHAT
Clean sheets426145
Failed to score4711303

Penalties

MetricLuparenseLegnago Salus
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricLuparenseLegnago Salus
Wins22
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-32-11-5
Biggest losses0-25-01-43-2
Goals For4325
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricLuparenseLegnago Salus
Form47%53%
Att31%69%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total43.8%56.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Legnago Salus

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away2.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.14 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luparense = 1.12 (league 1.28), Legnago Salus = 1.79 (league 1.12)

Legnago Salus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luparense 0 5.5% 9.8% 8.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
1 6.1% 10.9% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.4% 6.1% 5.5% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.5% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 52.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1