Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Aldo e Dino Ballarin
Expected Goals
1.92 (league 1.22)
0.38 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.5% | 18.7% | 6.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.2%
2 - 0
18.5%
3 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Adriese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Clodiense | 0 | 10.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.2% | 7.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.5% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Clodiense carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 162 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Clodiense -12.2, Adriese -21.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Clodiense
vs
Adriese
Elo gapClodiense +162
Home / draw / away59% / 18% / 23%
Expected home share72%
Combined Elo2920.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2920.9
Elo home share
72%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Clodiense | Adriese |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1523.8 | 1397.1 |
| Form Elo | 1516.4 | 1376.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1501.1 | 1462.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1501.1 | 1404.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1540.4 | 1416.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -12.2 | -21.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Clodiense last-5 Elo change: -12.2; Adriese last-5 Elo change: -21.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Clodiense | Adriese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 7% |
| Attack | 45% | 18% |
| Defense | 45% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Clodiense | Adriese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 50% | 44% | 47% | 19% | 13% | 16% |
| Draws | 25% | 31% | 28% | 25% | 13% | 19% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 56% | 75% | 66% |
ClodienseDWWLLDLWLDWDDWWWWDWWWWWLDLWWDLLD
AdrieseDDLLDLWLLWWLLDLLWLLLDLLLLLWDLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Clodiense | Adriese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 22 | 43 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 11 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 56 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Clodiense | Adriese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 56% | 41% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 22% | 22% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 9% | 9% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Clodiense | Adriese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
Penalties
| Metric | Clodiense | Adriese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Clodiense | Adriese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-2 | 1-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Clodiense | Adriese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 67.0% | 33.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…