Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale di Altavilla Vicentina
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.22)
0.90 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.8% | 33.9% | 35.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
18.1%
0 - 1
16.2%
1 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Mestre | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Altavilla | 0 | 18.1% | 16.2% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.7% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Mestre carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 46 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Altavilla -11.9, Mestre -8.6.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Altavilla
vs
Mestre
Elo gapMestre +46
Home / draw / away32% / 25% / 43%
Expected home share43%
Combined Elo3078
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3078
Elo home share
43%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Altavilla | Mestre |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1498.4 | 1579.6 |
| Form Elo | 1488.7 | 1577.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1502.2 | 1537.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1403.3 | 1426.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1609.3 | 1665.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -11.9 | -8.6 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Altavilla last-5 Elo change: -11.9; Mestre last-5 Elo change: -8.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Altavilla | Mestre |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 9% | 36% |
| Defense | 73% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Altavilla | Mestre | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 38% | 13% | 25% | 38% | 44% | 41% |
| Draws | 38% | 63% | 50% | 50% | 31% | 41% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 13% | 25% | 19% |
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MestreDWWDLWDDWWWLDDWDLWWDDDDWLWWLDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Altavilla | Mestre | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 8 | 26 | 19 | 17 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 14 | 10 | 24 | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Altavilla | Mestre | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 59% | 69% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 16% | 31% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 0% | 13% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Altavilla | Mestre | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Altavilla | Mestre |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Altavilla | Mestre |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Altavilla | Mestre |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.5% | 51.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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