Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.22)
0.63 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.5% | 33.4% | 22.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.5%
0 - 0
18.8%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Este | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Treviso | 0 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Treviso carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 97 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Treviso -37.0, Este -42.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Treviso
vs
Este
Elo gapTreviso +97
Home / draw / away52% / 19% / 29%
Expected home share64%
Combined Elo3133
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3133
Elo home share
64%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Treviso | Este |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1597.6 | 1535.4 |
| Form Elo | 1582.2 | 1522.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1512 | 1512.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1533.6 | 1467.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1621.1 | 1582.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -37.0 | -42.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Treviso last-5 Elo change: -37.0; Este last-5 Elo change: -42.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Treviso | Este |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 13% |
| Attack | 36% | 27% |
| Defense | 27% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Treviso | Este | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 69% | 63% | 66% | 44% | 31% | 38% |
| Draws | 6% | 31% | 19% | 38% | 44% | 41% |
| Loses | 25% | 6% | 16% | 19% | 25% | 22% |
TrevisoWWWWDWWLWWWWWLWWWWWWDDDWDWDLLWLW
EsteWDWDDDDWWDDWLWLLDWWWDLDDWWWLLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Treviso | Este | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 26 | 49 | 20 | 16 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Treviso | Este | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 44% | 72% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 19% | 25% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 3% | 16% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Treviso | Este | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 10 | 8 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Treviso | Este |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Treviso | Este |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-4 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Treviso | Este |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 61.5% | 38.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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