Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 15:00 • Stadio Marcello Melani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.13) 0.88 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.6% 23.1% 18.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.5%
2 - 0
11.1%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
ASD Sasso Marconi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 7.1% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.5% 11.0% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.7% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPistoieseASD Sasso Marconi
Played22
Form67%50%
Attack13%19%
Defense94%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 13 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.53 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pistoiese ASD Sasso Marconi
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%100%50%100%0%50%
Draws100%0%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%50%

Form: Pistoiese: DW • ASD Sasso Marconi: LW

League goals

Metric Pistoiese ASD Sasso Marconi
HATHAT
GF total112213
GF avg1.01.01.02.01.01.5
GA total101123
GA avg1.00.00.51.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePistoieseASD Sasso Marconi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%100%
1.50%0%50%50%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPistoieseASD Sasso Marconi
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPistoieseASD Sasso Marconi
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPistoieseASD Sasso Marconi
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-12-1
Biggest losses2-1
Goals For1121
Goals Against1012

Model comparison

MetricPistoieseASD Sasso Marconi
Form57%43%
Att40%60%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Pistoiese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pistoiese = 1.77 (league 1.13), ASD Sasso Marconi = 0.88 (league 1.14)

ASD Sasso Marconi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 7.1% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.5% 11.0% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.7% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.6% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 18.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1