Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 15:00 • Stadio Marcello Melani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.20) 0.85 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.0% 24.3% 19.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
ASD Sasso Marconi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 8.1% 6.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.5% 11.4% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.5% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.2% 5.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPistoieseASD Sasso Marconi
Played22
Form67%50%
Attack13%19%
Defense94%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 13 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.53 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pistoiese ASD Sasso Marconi
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%100%50%100%0%50%
Draws100%0%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%50%

Form: Pistoiese: DW • ASD Sasso Marconi: LW

League goals

Metric Pistoiese ASD Sasso Marconi
HATHAT
GF total112213
GF avg1.01.01.02.01.01.5
GA total101123
GA avg1.00.00.51.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePistoieseASD Sasso Marconi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%100%
1.50%0%50%50%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPistoieseASD Sasso Marconi
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPistoieseASD Sasso Marconi
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPistoieseASD Sasso Marconi
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-12-1—
Biggest losses———2-1
Goals For1121
Goals Against1012

Model comparison

MetricPistoieseASD Sasso Marconi
Form57%43%
Att40%60%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Pistoiese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pistoiese = 1.67 (league 1.20), ASD Sasso Marconi = 0.85 (league 1.18)

ASD Sasso Marconi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 8.1% 6.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.5% 11.4% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.5% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.2% 5.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.0% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 19.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1