Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Tre Stelle
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.13)
0.87 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.6% | 33.4% | 32.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
17.3%
1 - 0
15.3%
0 - 1
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Correggese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desenzano Calvina | 0 | 17.3% | 15.1% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.3% | 13.3% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Correggese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 44% |
| Attack | 29% | 21% |
| Defense | 86% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
50%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Correggese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Desenzano Calvina: LDW • Correggese: LWD
League goals
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Correggese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Desenzano Calvina | Correggese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Correggese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Correggese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Correggese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Correggese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 55.7% | 44.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Desenzano Calvina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Desenzano Calvina = 0.88 (league 1.13), Correggese = 0.87 (league 1.15)
| Correggese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desenzano Calvina | 0 | 17.3% | 15.1% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.3% | 13.3% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.6% · Draw 33.4% · Away win 32.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1