Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Giuseppe Voltini
Expected Goals
6.85 (league 1.17)
2.65 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
best score tips
5 - 2
3.3%
5 - 3
2.9%
5 - 1
2.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Progresso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Crema | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Crema | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 67% | 11% |
| Attack | 29% | 29% |
| Defense | 79% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Crema | Progresso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
Form: Crema: LWW • Progresso: LLD
League goals
| Metric | Crema | Progresso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Crema | Progresso | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Crema | Progresso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Crema | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Crema | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Crema | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 60.6% | 39.4% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Crema and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Crema = 6.85 (league 1.17), Progresso = 2.65 (league 1.13)
| Progresso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Crema | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.2% · Draw 4.4% · Away win 3.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1