Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Leonardo Garilli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.22 (league 1.13) 1.75 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.1% 19.8% 75.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
24.3%
0 - 2
21.3%
0 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Pistoiese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Piacenza 0 13.9% 24.3% 21.3% 12.5% 5.5% 1.9%
1 3.1% 5.4% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
2 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPiacenzaPistoiese
Played44
Form58%83%
Attack40%90%
Defense70%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 19 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.82 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Piacenza Pistoiese
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%50%50%50%100%75%
Draws50%0%25%50%0%25%
Loses0%50%25%0%0%0%

Form: Piacenza: WLDW • Pistoiese: DWWW

League goals

Metric Piacenza Pistoiese
HATHAT
GF total134459
GF avg0.51.51.02.02.52.3
GA total033112
GA avg0.01.50.80.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePiacenzaPistoiese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%100%50%
1.525%25%50%0%
2.50%0%50%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPiacenzaPistoiese
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricPiacenzaPistoiese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPiacenzaPistoiese
Wins10
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-23-01-4
Biggest losses2-1
Goals For1234
Goals Against0211

Model comparison

MetricPiacenzaPistoiese
Form41%59%
Att31%69%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total40.4%59.6%

Advice: Combo Winner : Pistoiese and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Piacenza = 0.22 (league 1.13), Pistoiese = 1.75 (league 1.14)

Pistoiese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Piacenza 0 13.9% 24.3% 21.3% 12.5% 5.5% 1.9%
1 3.1% 5.4% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
2 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.1% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 75.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1