Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Ernesto Breda
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.13)
0.44 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.0% | 18.3% | 7.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.5%
2 - 0
17.5%
3 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Crema | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pro Sesto | 0 | 8.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.5% | 7.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.5% | 7.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Crema |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 83% | 75% |
| Attack | 70% | 60% |
| Defense | 80% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Crema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Pro Sesto: WWWD • Crema: LWWW
League goals
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Crema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pro Sesto | Crema | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Crema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Crema |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Crema |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Crema |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 67.2% | 32.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Pro Sesto or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pro Sesto = 1.99 (league 1.13), Crema = 0.44 (league 1.14)
| Crema | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pro Sesto | 0 | 8.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.5% | 7.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.5% | 7.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.0% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 7.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1