Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Allegretti Campo A
Expected Goals
5.00 (league 1.20)
1.70 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% |
best score tips
4 - 1
5.5%
5 - 1
5.5%
4 - 2
4.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Progresso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cittadella Vis Modena | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cittadella Vis Modena | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 7% |
| Attack | 60% | 50% |
| Defense | 40% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cittadella Vis Modena | Progresso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 60% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 40% | 67% | 100% | 80% |
Form: Cittadella Vis Modena: WWLWL • Progresso: LLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Cittadella Vis Modena | Progresso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cittadella Vis Modena | Progresso | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 100% | 60% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 20% | 20% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cittadella Vis Modena | Progresso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cittadella Vis Modena | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cittadella Vis Modena | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cittadella Vis Modena | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 90% | 10% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 68.3% | 31.7% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Cittadella Vis Modena and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Cittadella Vis Modena = 5.00 (league 1.20), Progresso = 1.70 (league 1.18)
| Progresso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cittadella Vis Modena | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.4% · Draw 7.0% · Away win 5.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1