Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Tre Stelle
Expected Goals
2.66 (league 1.13)
1.97 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.7% | 18.2% | 27.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
6.8%
2 - 2
6.7%
3 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Lentigione | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desenzano Calvina | 0 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Lentigione |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 80% |
| Attack | 70% | 80% |
| Defense | 60% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Lentigione | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 67% | 40% | 100% | 50% | 80% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
Form: Desenzano Calvina: LDWDW • Lentigione: WLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Lentigione | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Desenzano Calvina | Lentigione | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 100% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Lentigione | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Lentigione |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Lentigione |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Lentigione |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 48.3% | 51.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lentigione
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Desenzano Calvina = 2.66 (league 1.13), Lentigione = 1.97 (league 1.14)
| Lentigione | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desenzano Calvina | 0 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.7% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 27.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1