Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Progresso
Expected Goals
0.08 (league 1.13)
0.26 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.0% | 72.5% | 21.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
71.0%
0 - 1
18.7%
1 - 0
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Imolese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Progresso | 0 | 71.0% | 18.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Progresso | Imolese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 88% | 25% |
| Defense | 0% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
41%
FT probability
2.5+
29%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Progresso | Imolese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 100% | 67% |
| Loses | 67% | 67% | 67% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
Form: Progresso: LLDLLW • Imolese: DLDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Progresso | Imolese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Progresso | Imolese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 33% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 17% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Progresso | Imolese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Progresso | Imolese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Progresso | Imolese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Progresso | Imolese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 13% | 88% |
| Total | 30.2% | 70.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Imolese and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Progresso = 0.08 (league 1.13), Imolese = 0.26 (league 1.14)
| Imolese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Progresso | 0 | 71.0% | 18.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.0% · Draw 72.5% · Away win 21.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1