Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Tre Stelle
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.20)
0.77 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.9% | 38.8% | 36.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.8%
0 - 1
19.9%
1 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sant'Angelo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desenzano Calvina | 0 | 25.8% | 19.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.0% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Sant'Angelo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 43% |
| Defense | 43% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Sant'Angelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 75% | 43% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Draws | 67% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 33% | 25% | 29% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
Form: Desenzano Calvina: LDWDWLW • Sant'Angelo: WLLDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Sant'Angelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Desenzano Calvina | Sant'Angelo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 57% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 14% | 29% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Sant'Angelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Sant'Angelo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Sant'Angelo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Sant'Angelo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Desenzano Calvina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Desenzano Calvina = 0.58 (league 1.20), Sant'Angelo = 0.77 (league 1.18)
| Sant'Angelo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desenzano Calvina | 0 | 25.8% | 19.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.0% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 38.8% · Away win 36.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1