Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Marcello Melani
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.13)
0.26 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.6% | 42.0% | 11.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
34.3%
1 - 0
27.7%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Correggese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pistoiese | 0 | 34.3% | 9.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.7% | 7.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pistoiese | Correggese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 71% |
| Defense | 57% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pistoiese | Correggese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 75% | 57% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Draws | 67% | 25% | 43% | 50% | 67% | 57% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
Form: Pistoiese: DWWWDDW • Correggese: LWDDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Pistoiese | Correggese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 10 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pistoiese | Correggese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 43% | 71% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 14% | 29% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pistoiese | Correggese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pistoiese | Correggese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pistoiese | Correggese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pistoiese | Correggese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 61% | 39% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 59.0% | 41.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Pistoiese or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pistoiese = 0.81 (league 1.13), Correggese = 0.26 (league 1.14)
| Correggese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pistoiese | 0 | 34.3% | 9.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.7% | 7.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.6% · Draw 42.0% · Away win 11.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1