Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Giuseppe Voltini
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.13)
1.04 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.2% | 32.1% | 40.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.6%
0 - 0
15.9%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Desenzano Calvina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Crema | 0 | 15.9% | 16.6% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Crema | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 33% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Crema | Desenzano Calvina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 50% | 63% | 25% | 75% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Form: Crema: LWWWDWLW • Desenzano Calvina: LDWDWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Crema | Desenzano Calvina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Crema | Desenzano Calvina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 50% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 50% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Crema | Desenzano Calvina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Crema | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Crema | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Crema | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 39.2% | 60.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Desenzano Calvina
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Crema = 0.79 (league 1.13), Desenzano Calvina = 1.04 (league 1.15)
| Desenzano Calvina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Crema | 0 | 15.9% | 16.6% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.2% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 40.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1