Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Marcello Melani
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.20)
0.27 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7% | 22.9% | 5.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.6%
2 - 0
19.7%
0 - 0
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Sant'Angelo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pistoiese | 0 | 15.4% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.6% | 6.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.7% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pistoiese | Sant'Angelo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Attack | 89% | 44% |
| Defense | 67% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pistoiese | Sant'Angelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 67% | 55% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
| Draws | 60% | 33% | 45% | 0% | 40% | 18% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
Form: Pistoiese: DWWWDDWDDWW • Sant'Angelo: WLLDWWLLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Pistoiese | Sant'Angelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 13 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pistoiese | Sant'Angelo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 45% | 64% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 18% | 27% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pistoiese | Sant'Angelo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pistoiese | Sant'Angelo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pistoiese | Sant'Angelo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pistoiese | Sant'Angelo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 71.0% | 29.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Pistoiese or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pistoiese = 1.60 (league 1.20), Sant'Angelo = 0.27 (league 1.18)
| Sant'Angelo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pistoiese | 0 | 15.4% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.6% | 6.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.7% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.7% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 5.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1